Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2012 - 2013 - 2014



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Colorado Mountain 46.9% 91.8% 98.5% 99.9% 100.0%
2 Northern Arizona Mountain 13.6% 71.5% 92.6% 99.7% 100.0%
3 Oklahoma State Midwest 12.4% 68.9% 91.2% 99.2% 99.9%
4 BYU Mountain 14.1% 70.0% 92.3% 99.6% 100.0%
5 Oregon West 8.3% 61.3% 88.5% 99.3% 99.9%
6 Portland West 0.6% 12.5% 40.6% 85.8% 97.7%
7 Arkansas South Central 0.3% 16.2% 56.0% 95.4% 100.0%
8 Stanford West 0.8% 18.2% 50.3% 80.9% 85.8%
9 Wisconsin Great Lakes 0.4% 13.1% 41.3% 85.6% 99.8%
10 Indiana Great Lakes 0.7% 14.6% 45.4% 85.8% 99.8%
11 New Mexico Mountain 0.2% 7.5% 34.7% 83.2% 97.6%
12 Iona Northeast 0.4% 9.9% 35.3% 79.5% 96.9%
13 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 0.1% 6.2% 28.1% 78.1% 99.4%
14 Syracuse Northeast 0.5% 11.1% 36.4% 81.8% 99.4%
15 Villanova Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 3.5% 21.4% 71.9% 93.1%
16 Columbia Northeast 0.1% 4.1% 21.3% 68.4% 98.4%
17 Tulsa Midwest 0.2% 4.3% 21.0% 66.4% 96.9%
18 Texas South Central 0.0% 1.7% 15.6% 70.5% 99.9%
19 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 3.5% 17.0% 62.0% 99.1%
20 Michigan Great Lakes 0.2% 3.6% 18.6% 67.4% 99.6%
21 Virginia Southeast 0.0% 1.5% 9.2% 43.2% 71.2%
22 Providence Northeast 0.9% 7.3% 46.1% 94.9%
23 North Carolina Southeast 1.3% 9.3% 49.2% 97.0%
24 Iowa State Midwest 0.0% 0.8% 6.8% 29.8% 49.2%
25 Air Force Mountain 0.7% 7.1% 41.4% 85.7%
26 Notre Dame Great Lakes 0.3% 4.1% 35.5% 96.0%
27 Colorado St. Mountain 0.0% 0.7% 5.5% 33.2% 87.1%
28 Dartmouth Northeast 0.3% 3.1% 29.6% 80.7%
29 Boise State West 0.0% 0.6% 4.7% 15.1%
30 Butler Great Lakes 0.2% 4.9% 20.6%
31 North Carolina St. Southeast 0.1% 1.7% 12.6%
32 Florida South 0.0% 2.4% 62.6%
33 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 0.2% 3.9% 17.8%
34 Oklahoma Midwest 0.1% 2.7% 14.7%
35 Harvard Northeast 1.2% 72.5%
36 Southern Utah Mountain 0.1% 3.0% 26.0%
37 Arizona State West 0.1% 2.3% 16.6%
38 UCLA West 0.1% 1.0% 4.7%
39 Virginia Tech Southeast 0.3% 4.0%
40 Cal Poly West 0.1% 0.5%
41 Illinois Midwest 0.9% 9.4%
42 Arizona West 0.0% 0.3%
43 Texas Tech Mountain 0.5%
44 Washington West 0.7% 12.7%
45 Michigan State Great Lakes 0.1% 3.3%
46 UTEP Mountain 0.0%
47 Louisville Southeast 0.1%
48 Georgia South 0.2% 55.5%
49 Penn State Mid-Atlantic 0.4%
50 Kansas Midwest 0.0% 0.4%
51 Minnesota Midwest 0.0% 0.7% 23.1%
52 Duke Southeast 0.1% 3.2%
53 Florida State South 0.4% 68.8%
54 Auburn South 0.1% 14.9%
55 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
56 Purdue Great Lakes 0.1%
57 Lamar South Central 0.2%
58 Washington St. West 0.1%
59 Wyoming Mountain 0.0% 0.4%
60 Yale Northeast 0.0% 4.5%
61 South Dakota St. Midwest
62 Montana State Mountain 0.4%
63 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic
64 Missouri Midwest 0.2%
65 Ohio State Great Lakes 0.3%
66 Tennessee South 8.1%
67 Penn Mid-Atlantic
68 High Point Southeast
69 Utah State Mountain 0.1%
70 Southern Illinois Midwest 0.0%
71 UC Davis West
72 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
73 Liberty Southeast
74 William and Mary Southeast 0.0%
75 Indiana State Great Lakes
76 Loyola Marymount West
77 Kentucky Southeast
78 UC Santa Barbara West
79 Gonzaga West
80 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes
81 California West
82 Northeastern Northeast
83 Illinois State Midwest
84 Cornell Northeast 0.2%
85 Iowa Midwest
86 Central Connecticut Northeast
87 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
88 Boston U. Northeast
89 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
90 San Francisco West
91 North Texas South Central
92 Lipscomb South 0.1%
93 Texas A&M South Central
94 Georgia Tech South 0.0%
95 Akron Great Lakes
96 Nebraska Midwest
97 Army Northeast
98 Stephen F. Austin South Central
99 Navy Mid-Atlantic
100 Miss State South
101 Bradley Midwest
102 Long Beach St. West
103 Weber State Mountain
104 Maine Northeast
105 New Hampshire Northeast
106 Wake Forest Southeast
107 Elon Southeast
108 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
109 Belmont South
110 Texas-Arlington South Central
111 Furman Southeast
112 Rice South Central
113 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
114 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes
115 Chattanooga South
116 George Mason Southeast
117 American Mid-Atlantic
118 IUPUI Great Lakes
119 Binghamton Northeast
120 Central Michigan Great Lakes
121 Memphis South
122 Florida A&M South
123 Eastern Washington West
124 South Dakota Midwest
125 Morehead State Southeast
126 Appalachian State Southeast
127 Wichita State Midwest
128 Houston South Central
129 Cincinnati Great Lakes
130 Saint Louis Midwest
131 Clemson Southeast
132 Central Arkansas South Central
133 Baylor South Central
134 Stony Brook Northeast
135 Buffalo Northeast
136 Texas A&M-CC South Central
137 Brown Northeast
138 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic
139 Kent State Great Lakes
140 Coastal Carolina Southeast
141 Utah Valley Mountain
142 McNeese State South Central
143 Campbell Southeast
144 Alabama South
145 North Dakota St. Midwest
146 Mississippi South
147 Sacramento St. West
148 Ohio U. Great Lakes
149 UMass Amherst Northeast
150 East Tenn. St. South
151 Northern Iowa Midwest
152 Eastern Illinois Midwest
153 Richmond Southeast
154 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
155 Davidson Southeast
156 Rider Mid-Atlantic
157 Canisius Northeast
158 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
159 Drake Midwest
160 Albany Northeast
161 Florida Gulf Coast South
162 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
163 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
164 Marquette Great Lakes
165 North Florida South
166 UMKC Midwest
167 Connecticut Northeast
168 Mid. Tenn. State South
169 Fordham Northeast
170 UC Irvine West
171 Boston College Northeast
172 Va. Military Institute Southeast
173 Santa Clara West
174 SE Missouri Midwest
175 Dayton Great Lakes
176 Idaho West
177 Samford South
178 Idaho State Mountain
179 Fresno State West
180 UC Riverside West
181 Toledo Great Lakes
182 South Alabama South
183 Charlotte Southeast
184 Cal St. Fullerton West
185 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
186 Fairfield Northeast
187 Marist Northeast
188 North Dakota Midwest
189 Wright State Great Lakes
190 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
191 Montana Mountain
192 Oakland Great Lakes
193 Miami South
194 VCU Southeast
195 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
196 Vermont Northeast
197 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
198 Houston Baptist South Central
199 UL-Monroe South Central
200 UTSA South Central
201 Louisiana Tech South Central
202 Kansas State Midwest
203 USC Upstate Southeast
204 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
205 East Carolina Southeast
206 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
207 UNC-Asheville Southeast
208 Seattle U. West
209 Portland State West
210 Sam Houston St. South Central
211 Quinnipiac Northeast
212 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes
213 Bowling Green Great Lakes
214 LSU South Central
215 Western Illinois Midwest
216 Arkansas State South Central
217 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
218 Vanderbilt South
219 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
220 DePaul Midwest
221 Holy Cross Northeast
222 Siena Northeast
223 Robert Morris Mid-Atlantic
224 Western Carolina Southeast
225 St. Francis (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
226 UL-Lafayette South Central
227 Radford Southeast
228 Manhattan Northeast
229 Western Kentucky Southeast
230 Howard Mid-Atlantic
231 Longwood Southeast
232 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
233 Hartford Northeast
234 Creighton Midwest
235 San Diego West
236 Texas State South Central
237 Temple Mid-Atlantic
238 Rhode Island Northeast
239 Texas-Pan American South Central
240 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
241 Colgate Northeast
242 Mercer South
243 TCU South Central
244 New Mexico St. Mountain
245 Evansville Great Lakes
246 Tennessee-Martin South
247 Valparaiso Great Lakes
248 Bryant Northeast
249 Winthrop Southeast
250 Col. of Charleston Southeast
251 Norfolk State Southeast
252 Wagner Northeast
253 Oral Roberts Midwest
254 Florida Int'l South
255 Austin Peay South
256 Sacred Heart Northeast
257 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
258 Florida Atlantic South
259 Pepperdine West
260 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
261 Citadel Southeast
262 San Jose St. West
263 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
264 Murray State Southeast
265 Niagara Northeast
266 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
267 Tennessee Tech South
268 Tulane South Central
269 Hofstra Northeast
270 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
271 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
272 Troy South
273 IPFW Great Lakes
274 Jacksonville St. South
275 Cal St. Northridge West
276 St. Bonaventure Northeast
277 South Florida South
278 Mississippi Valley South
279 Wofford Southeast
280 SE Louisiana South Central
281 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic
282 Alabama State South
283 Gardner-Webb Southeast
284 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
285 Prairie View South Central
286 Stetson South
287 Grambling South Central
288 New Orleans South Central
289 Northwestern St. South Central
290 Jacksonville South
291 Hampton Southeast
292 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
293 Northern Colorado Mountain
294 Jackson State South
295 Texas Southern South Central
296 Southern South Central
297 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
298 Bethune-Cookman South
299 Presbyterian Southeast
300 Charleston Southern Southeast
301 N.C. Central Southeast
302 Tennessee St. South
303 Alcorn State South
304 Savannah State South
305 Nicholls State South Central
306 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
307 Chicago State Midwest
308 South Carolina St. Southeast
309 Arkansas-Pine Bluff South Central
310 Kennesaw State South
311 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
312 100.0%
313 100.0%
314 100.0%
315 100.0%
316 100.0%
317 100.0%
318 100.0%
319 100.0%
320 100.0%
321 100.0%
322 100.0%
323 100.0%
324 100.0%
325 100.0%
326 100.0%
327 100.0%
328 100.0%
329 100.0%
330 100.0%
331 100.0%
332 100.0%
333 100.0%
334 100.0%
335 100.0%
336 100.0%
337 100.0%
338 100.0%
339 100.0%
340 100.0%
341 100.0%
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%